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Private Research

Four Macroeconomic Factors Behind 90% of Market Variance.

Our in-depth analysis, independently verified and complementing BlackRock's research, reveals how four macro factors hold the key to over 90% of asset class returns. Economic growth, real rates, inflation, and credit are the driving forces shaping investment outcomes. Additional factors like emerging markets, and liquidity help explain additional asset classes beyond the broad market.

For more information on BlackRocks research, visit Factor Allocation - BlackRock.

Primary Macro Factors

“Unleashing the Power of Factors: Unraveling the Foundation of Investing for Excess Returns and Reduced Risk”

Discover the core essence of factors as the bedrock of investing, serving as enduring drivers of returns across various asset classes. Delve into the mechanics of factors to grasp their potential in achieving superior returns while mitigating risk, following in the footsteps of leading investors who have harnessed their prowess for decades.

  • Economic Growth Factor
  • Real Yields
  • Inflation Expectations
  • Credit Risk
Economic Growth Macro-factor

Developed using market proxies for overall economic growth, on a daily basis.

Real Yields Macro-factor

Inflation Expectations Macro-factor

Credit Risk Macro-factor

We use a aggregated credit spread index for credit risk.